Kroncke Laboratory
Research Program

How do we determine the significance of genetic variants?

Integrating in vitro and in silico evidence to quantify disease probability — rather than relying on binary pathogenicity labels.

What is the significance of a genetic variant to those who carry it?

Next-generation sequencing has revealed countless variants across the genome, yet translating those observations into patient-level insight remains hard, especially for rare alleles. We resolve variants of uncertain significance by integrating in vitro and in silico evidence to quantify disease probability rather than relying on binary labels.

We begin with cardiac ion-channel genes implicated in long QT syndrome, Brugada syndrome and related arrhythmias because they offer a tractable system for connecting molecular mechanism to clinical outcome. For an overview, watch this talk.

1,400+SCN5A variants
curated
5evidence sources
unified
LLM consensus
per curation
4genes live on
VariantBrowser
How the pipeline works

An integrated, open-source path from literature to penetrance.

01

Curate

LLM agents pull carrier counts, phenotypes and study context from PubMed; multi-model consensus scores gene–disease validity against the ClinGen SOP.

02

Annotate

AlphaMissense, REVEL, CADD, ClinVar and gnomAD unified into one database, so every variant carries the same panel of predictive evidence.

03

Localize

Variants mapped onto AlphaFold structures with elastic-network analysis, so pathogenic clusters raise the prior for nearby VUS.

ProteinProximityAnalysis · in development
04

Estimate

A Bayesian model fuses carriers, features and structural priors into penetrance with full uncertainty — our patented method.

Research innovation

Three advances we've built the program on.

2018 — PRESENT

Functional genomics + modeling

We pioneered deep mutational scanning and scalable automated patch clamp to interpret ion-channel variants — data that feeds models estimating penetrance for individual carriers.

US-20220406461-A1

Bayesian penetrance estimation

Our patented framework incorporates functional data, clinical observations and genetic background to refine individualized risk estimates.

LLM CONSENSUS

Literature & gene–disease curation

Large language models extract variant, phenotype and carrier evidence at scale; a multi-model consensus reproduces ClinGen-style validity calls in an auditable workflow.

The public resource

VariantBrowser.org

Each gene page unifies published carrier counts, functional data, structural context and in silico predictors behind a calibrated Bayesian estimate of disease probability.

Four cardiac channelopathy genes are live today — together spanning more than 55,000 variants — with many more in active development.

Explore VariantBrowser.org →
KCNQ1Long QT type 14,386 variants
KCNH2Long QT type 27,995 variants
SCN5ABrugada / LQT313,739 variants
RYR2CPVT29,236 variants
Perturbation & disease

How much functional perturbation is too much?

By curating more than 1,400 SCN5A variants — including 304 with functional data — we show that modest perturbations yield heterogeneous clinical presentations, whereas extreme loss or gain of function produces more consistent outcomes. Modeling disease probability from functional effect offers a clearer path to clinical decisions than binary classification.

Disease-associated variants in Nav1.5 mapped onto channel structure
Disease-associated variants in Nav1.5 (SCN5A) mapped onto channel structure. Per-residue rates of Brugada syndrome (BrS1), type-3 long QT (LQT3) and unaffected carriers (gold) cluster differently across membrane regions.

Intravariant heterogeneity

Carriers of the same variant can present very differently. Peak current — a proxy for channel function — tracks with, but does not fully determine, how many carriers are diagnosed with Brugada syndrome. Capturing that spread is exactly what our penetrance models are built to do.

VariantPeak current# unaffected# BrS1
S1787N95%121
Y1795H66%75
R367H0%316

Peak current = proxy for channel function · unaffected = carriers without phenotype · BrS1 = carriers diagnosed with Brugada syndrome.

Predicting function

Blending experiment and computation.

We interrogate structural consequences with Rosetta modeling, molecular dynamics in AMBER and NMR, and generate functional measurements through deep mutational scanning and automated patch clamp. These complementary approaches let us build predictive models we can validate in disease-relevant systems.

All-atom molecular dynamics of a channel segment in a lipid bilayer
All-atom molecular dynamics (AMBER) of a channel segment in an explicit lipid bilayer.
High-throughput characterization

Measuring variant effects at scale.

Interpreting variants one at a time cannot keep pace with sequencing. We characterize thousands of variants functionally and feed them directly into our penetrance models.

▦ DMS

Deep mutational scanning

The most comprehensive variant-effect map to date for KCNH2/Kv11.1 — cell-surface trafficking for thousands of variants in one experiment.

⚡ APC

Automated patch clamp

Scalable electrophysiology measures peak current, gating and kinetics far faster than manual recording.

♥ iPSC

iPSC-cardiomyocytes

CRISPR-edited stem-cell cardiomyocytes with defined backgrounds test how polygenic variation reshapes rare-variant expressivity.

Polygenic risk scores modify susceptibility. In recent work (2026) we used quantitative proteomics to show how elevated QT polygenic risk reshapes Kv11.1 (hERG) trafficking networks in cardiomyocytes — connecting common-variant background to a concrete molecular mechanism, and revealing nonlinear interactions that influence arrhythmia risk and treatment response.

Beating human iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes — a patient-relevant model for testing how genetic background shapes channel function.
Extending the framework

Atrial fibrillation

The framework is gene-agnostic. A current pilot brings our LLM-assisted, ClinGen-style gene–disease validity curation to atrial fibrillation — starting with NPPA, GJA5, KCNA5 and PITX2 — in a transparent, reviewable workflow that can scale to many more genes.

Clinical translation

Breakthrough events

Knowing a variant is pathogenic is not the same as knowing whether a patient will do well on treatment. Using harmonized international cohorts, we build survival models of breakthrough cardiac events — those occurring despite beta-blocker therapy — in KCNH2 carriers, to flag individuals who need more aggressive management before an event occurs.

Grants & funding

Our research is supported by NIH R01HL160863 (2022–2027), NIH K99/R00 HL135442 (2017–2022), and the American Heart Association Career Development Award (2021–2024).

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Vanderbilt University Medical Center